Week 5 Project – STAT 3001

Week 5 Project – STAT 3001

This assignment is worth a total of 60 points.
Part I. Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test (equal frequencies)

For a recent year the number of homicides that occurred in New York City are given in the table below. Use a 0.05 level of significance to test the claim that the homicides in NYC are equally likely to occur in each of the 12 months.

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
38 30 46 40 46 49 47 50 50 42 37 37

Instructions for performing this test in Stat Disk can be found in the Stat Disk User?s Manual under Goodness of Fit, Equal Frequencies.

Instructions Answers
1. Use the Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit test to see if there is a difference between the frequency of homicides in different months of the year. Use a significance level of .05. Paste results here.
2. What are we trying to show here?
3. What is the p-value and what does it represent in the context of this problem?
4. State in your own words what the results of this Goodness-of-Fit test tells us.
5. Repeat the above procedure using only the summer months of Jun through Sep. Paste results here. Did you get different results? Would these results support the police commissioner?s claim that more homicides occur in the summer when the weather is nicer.

Part II. Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test (unequal frequencies)
Acme Toy Company prints baseball cards. The company claims that 30% of the cards are rookies, 60% veterans, and 10% are All-Stars. Suppose a random sample of 100 cards has 50 rookies, 45 veterans, and 5 All-Stars. Is this consistent with Acme’s claim? Use a 0.05 level of significance. Instructions for performing this test in Stat Disk can be found in the Stat Disk User?s Manual under Goodness of Fit, Unequal Frequencies.

Instructions Answers
6. Complete the table as necessary.

[Hint: You will need to compute the observed frequencies based on the percentages for the 100 samples. Rookies Veterans All-Stars
OBSERVED 50 45 5
EXPECTED
7. Use the Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit test for Unequal Frequencies to see if there is a difference between the observed frequencies and the expected frequencies Use a significance level of .05.
Paste results here.
8. State the null and alternative hypothesis.
9. What conclusion would you reach, given the result of your Goodness-of-Fit test? Does the data support the company?s claim?[State in your own words following the guidelines for a conclusion statement learned last week.]

Part III. Chi-Square Test of Independence

A randomized controlled trial was designed to compare the effectiveness of splinting versus surgery in the treatment of carpal tunnel syndrome. Results are given in the table below. Use a significance level of 0.01 to test the claim that success is independent of the type of treatment.

Successful Unsuccessful
Splint treatment 60 23
Surgery treatment 67 6

Hint: Instructions for performing this test in Stat Disk can be found in the Stat Disk User?s Manual under the heading Chi Square Test of Independence (Contingency Tables).

Instructions Answers
10. Just looking at the numbers in the table, what is your best guess about the relationship between type of treatment and success? Are they independent or is there a relationship?
11. Compute a Chi-Square Test of Independence on this data using a 0.01 level of significance. Paste your results here.
12. What are the null and alternative hypothesis for this test?
13. What is the p-value for this result? What does this represent?
14. State your conclusion related to the context of this problem.

Part IV. Apply this to your own situation

Using one of the above statistical tests, compose and SOLVE an actual problem from the context of your own personal or professional life. You will need to make up some data and describe which test you will use to analyze the situation. Here?s an example:

Example: Do not use this problem!!
State the problem that you are analyzing. Last year, I asked the kids in my neighborhood what kind of cookies they preferred. 50% said chocolate-chip, 20% said oatmeal-raisin, and 30% said sugar cookie. I want to see if this has changed.
Make up some data for the new situation. I asked 50 neighborhood kids what kind of cookie they preferred now and here?s what they said:

? 35 said chocolate-chip
? 5 said oatmeal-raisin
? 10 said sugar-cookie
Determine which type of Chi-Square test you will perform. Since these are unequal frequencies, I will perform a Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test (Unequal Frequencies).
Specify your null and alternative hypotheses. H0: There is no difference this year in the preferences of cookies within the neighborhood kids.
H1: Things have changed.
Setup the test Chocolate-Chip Oatmeal-Raisin Sugar-Cookie
OBSERVED 35 5 10
EXPECTED 25 10 15
Perform the test Paste your STATDISK results here
State your conclusion We have evidence to believe ?.

Submit your final draft of your Word file by going to Week 5, Project, and follow the directions under Week 5 Assignment 2. Please use the naming convention “WK5Assgn2+first initial+last name” as the Submission Title.

Check
It Off! Expectations for the Week 5 Application Project:
Chi square tests 60 Points
Possible

1 _______
If you have not already done so, please take Walden?s academic integrity and TurnItIn tutorial to clarify your understanding of academic integrity issues and to learn how to avoid plagiarism. This online tutorial is available here: http://academicguides.waldenu.edu/writingcenter/undergraduate/academicintegrity

1 _______
2 _______
3 _______
4 _______
5 _______
Part 1: Goodness of fit for equal frequencies

? Paste results of chi square goodness of fit test
? Explain what test is attempting to show
? Identify and explain p value
? State results in context of problem
? Repeat procedure with modified columns

0 ? 15
points possible

1 _______
2 _______
3_______
4________
Part II: Goodness of fit (unequal frequencies)

? Complete observed and expected values table
? Copy/paste chi squared goodness of fit test results from stat disk
? State null and alternative hypothesis
? State conclusion in your own words

0 ? 15 points
possible

1 _______
2 _______
3 _______
4________
5________
Part III: Chi square test for independence

? Compare variables and make best guess related to outcome
? Complete chi square test for independence in stat disk and copy results
? State null and alternative hypothesis
? Identify p value and explain what this represents
? State conclusion in context of the problem

0 ? 20
points
possible

1 _______
2 _______
3 _______
4 _______
5 _______
6 _______
7 _______
Part IV: Create your own test

? State the problem you will be analyzing
? Make up your OWN data
? Identify type of chi square test you will use
? Specify null and alternative hypothesis
? Set up the test
? Copy/paste state disk results
? Explain conclusion in your own words

0 ? 10
points
possible

Academic Honesty
Review the class announcements and resources related to academic honesty and avoiding plagiary. Make sure that your application does not plagiarize from other authors. Recognize that whenever passages written by other authors are used in your work they must be enclosed in quotation marks and the original source must be cited. Applications demonstrating plagiary are worth zero points.

Comments Projects submitted late may be penalized as per the policy outlined in the syllabus. Please contact your instructor to discuss any late submissions Total out of 60